HIP-4 vs Polymarket Market Scanner
Scans all active HIP-4 outcome markets on Hyperliquid, automatically finds matching Polymarket markets using multi-signal scoring, and alerts when the fee-adjusted spread exceeds a configurable threshold.
Trigger: Cronjob → Actions: Code Transform, If, Hyperliquid Get Outcome Price, Hyperliquid Get Outcome Markets, Log, Code Transform, For Each, Polymarket Search Markets, Notification
HIP-4 vs Polymarket Market Scanner
Created by
B3 Team
1.
Root
2.
Get Outcomes
3.
Prepare Scan
4.
Scan Loop
Loop
5.
Search Pm
About
Scans all active HIP-4 outcome markets on Hyperliquid, automatically finds matching Polymarket markets using multi-signal scoring, and alerts when the fee-adjusted spread exceeds a configurable threshold.
Preview
analyze
Action
Code:function transform(input) {
var pms = input.pmMarkets || [], hl = input.hlSides || [];
var item = input.outcomeInfo, cr = item.matchCriteria || {};
var minSpread = parseFloat(input.spreadThreshold) || 0;
if (!hl || hl.length < 2 || hl[0].midPrice == null)
return { hasMatch: false, isArb: false, matchScore: 0, summary: item.name + ' -- HIP-4 price unavailable' };
if (cr.metricType === 'sports_side') return doSportSide(pms, hl, item, cr, minSpread);
var scored = [];
for (var i = 0; i < pms.length; i++) {
var m = pms[i];
if (!m.active || m.closed || !m.outcomePrices || m.outcomePrices.length < 2) continue;
var yp = parseFloat(m.outcomePrices[0]);
if (yp <= 0 || yp >= 1) continue;
var sc = scoreMatch(m, cr);
scored.push({ market: m, score: sc.total, breakdown: sc });
}
scored.sort(function(a, b) { return b.score - a.score; });
var best = scored[0] || null;
if (!best || best.score < 0.50) {
var r = !best ? 'No active PM markets' : 'Best ' + (best.score*100).toFixed(0) + '% < 50% (' + best.market.question + ')';
return { hasMatch: false, isArb: false, matchScore: best ? best.score : 0, summary: item.name + ' -- ' + r, candidateCount: scored.length };
}
var pm = best.market, pmY = parseFloat(pm.outcomePrices[0]), pmN = parseFloat(pm.outcomePrices[1]);
var hlY = hl[0].midPrice, hlN = hl[1].midPrice;
var g = Math.abs(hlY - pmY) * 100, n = g - 2.1;
var arb = n >= minSpread;
var s = item.name + '\n Match: ' + (best.score*100).toFixed(0) + '% | PM: ' + pm.question + ' ($' + Math.round(pm.liquidity) + ' liq)\n HIP-4: ' + item.sides[0] + '=' + (hlY*100).toFixed(1) + 'c | ' + item.sides[1] + '=' + (hlN*100).toFixed(1) + 'c\n PM: YES=' + (pmY*100).toFixed(1) + 'c | NO=' + (pmN*100).toFixed(1) + 'c\n Spread: ' + g.toFixed(2) + '% gross | ' + n.toFixed(2) + '% net' + (arb ? '\n ** ARB DETECTED **' : '');
return { hasMatch: true, matchScore: best.score, summary: s, pmQuestion: pm.question, hlYes: hlY, pmYes: pmY, grossSpread: g, netSpread: n, isArb: arb, candidateCount: scored.length };
}
function doSportSide(pms, hl, item, cr, minSpread) {
var si = item.sideIndex || 0;
var sn = (item.sideName || '').toLowerCase();
var hlP = hl[si] ? hl[si].midPrice : null;
if (hlP == null) return { hasMatch: false, isArb: false, matchScore: 0, summary: item.name + ' -- HL price unavailable for side ' + si };
var bm = null, bs = 0, ekw = cr.eventKeywords || [];
for (var i = 0; i < pms.length; i++) {
var m = pms[i];
if (!m.active || m.closed || !m.outcomePrices || m.outcomePrices.length < 2) continue;
var yp = parseFloat(m.outcomePrices[0]);
if (yp <= 0 || yp >= 1) continue;
var sc = sportScore(m, sn, ekw, cr.minLiquidity || 1000);
if (sc > bs) { bs = sc; bm = { m: m, yp: yp, sc: sc }; }
}
if (bm && bm.sc >= 0.30) {
var g = Math.abs(hlP - bm.yp) * 100, n = g - 2.1;
var arb = n >= minSpread;
var s = item.name + '\n Match: ' + (bm.sc*100).toFixed(0) + '% | PM: ' + bm.m.question + ' ($' + Math.round(bm.m.liquidity || 0) + ' liq)';
s += '\n HIP-4: ' + item.sideName + '=' + (hlP*100).toFixed(1) + 'c | PM YES=' + (bm.yp*100).toFixed(1) + 'c';
s += '\n Spread: ' + g.toFixed(2) + '% gross | ' + n.toFixed(2) + '% net' + (arb ? '\n ** ARB DETECTED **' : '');
return { hasMatch: true, matchScore: bm.sc, summary: s, pmQuestion: bm.m.question, hlPrice: hlP, pmPrice: bm.yp, grossSpread: g, netSpread: n, isArb: arb, candidateCount: pms.length };
}
var txt = bs > 0 ? ' (best: ' + (bs*100).toFixed(0) + '%)' : '';
return { hasMatch: false, isArb: false, matchScore: bs, summary: item.name + ' -- No confident PM match' + txt, candidateCount: pms.length };
}
function sportScore(pm, sn, ekw, minLiq) {
var q = pm.question.toLowerCase(), sc = 0;
if (q.indexOf(sn) >= 0) sc += 0.50;
var oc = pm.outcomes || [];
for (var i = 0; i < oc.length; i++) if ((oc[i]||'').toLowerCase().indexOf(sn) >= 0) { sc += 0.30; break; }
var w = sn.split(/\s+/);
if (w.length > 1 && sc < 0.50) { var h = 0; for (var j = 0; j < w.length; j++) if (w[j].length > 2 && q.indexOf(w[j]) >= 0) h++; if (h > 0) sc += 0.15*(h/w.length); }
for (var k = 0; k < ekw.length; k++) if (q.indexOf(ekw[k].toLowerCase()) >= 0) { sc += 0.15; break; }
if (pm.liquidity != null && pm.liquidity < minLiq) sc -= 0.10;
return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, sc));
}
function scoreMatch(pm, cr) {
var sg = {}, q = pm.question.toLowerCase(), sl = (pm.slug||'').toLowerCase(), t = q + ' ' + sl;
var rk = cr.requiredKeywords || [];
if (rk.length > 0) { var f = 0; for (var i = 0; i < rk.length; i++) if (t.indexOf(rk[i].toLowerCase()) >= 0) f++; sg.r = (f/rk.length)*0.30; } else sg.r = 0.15;
sg.j = 0; var jk = cr.rejectedKeywords || [];
for (var j = 0; j < jk.length; j++) if (t.indexOf(jk[j].toLowerCase()) >= 0) { sg.j = -0.40; break; }
sg.th = 0;
if (cr.threshold != null) { var nums = exNums(pm.question); if (nums.length > 0) { var cl = nums[0], cd = Math.abs(nums[0]-cr.threshold); for (var n = 1; n < nums.length; n++) { var df = Math.abs(nums[n]-cr.threshold); if (df < cd) { cl = nums[n]; cd = df; } } var pd = cd/Math.max(cr.threshold,1); sg.th = pd < 0.01 ? 0.25 : pd < 0.05 ? 0.15 : pd < 0.20 ? 0.05 : -0.15; } else if (cr.metricType !== 'sports_event') sg.th = -0.10; }
sg.d = 0;
if (cr.direction) { var dm = { below:['less','below','under','lower'], above:['above','over','higher','exceed'], exactly:['exactly','equal'], change:['cut','hike','change','raise'], no_change:['hold','pause','no change','unchanged'] }; var dw = dm[cr.direction]||[]; for (var d = 0; d < dw.length; d++) if (q.indexOf(dw[d]) >= 0) { sg.d = 0.15; break; } }
sg.tm = 0;
if (cr.month) { var ml = cr.month.toLowerCase(), ms = ml.substring(0,3); if (q.indexOf(ml) >= 0 || q.indexOf(ms) >= 0) sg.tm = 0.10; if (cr.year && q.indexOf(cr.year) >= 0) sg.tm += 0.05; }
sg.l = 0; if (pm.liquidity != null && pm.liquidity < (cr.minLiquidity||1000)) sg.l = -0.10;
sg.p = 0; if (cr.exactlyPenalty) sg.p -= 0.25; if (cr.dailyBinaryPenalty) sg.p -= 0.20;
sg.mx = 0;
if (cr.metricType === 'headline_cpi' && q.indexOf('core') >= 0) sg.mx = -0.30;
else if (cr.metricType === 'core_cpi' && q.indexOf('core') < 0 && q.indexOf('cpi') >= 0) sg.mx = -0.15;
var tot = 0, ks = Object.keys(sg); for (var k = 0; k < ks.length; k++) tot += sg[ks[k]];
sg.total = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, tot)); return sg;
}
function exNums(t) { var r = [], re = /(\d+\.?\d*)/g, m; while ((m = re.exec(t)) !== null) { var n = parseFloat(m[1]); if (!isNaN(n)) r.push(n); } return r; }
Input:{"hlSides":"{{get_hl_price.result.sides}}","outcomeInfo":"{{$item}}","pmMarkets":"{{search_pm.result.markets}}","spreadThreshold":"{{$props.spread_threshold}}"}
check_arb
Action
Condition:{"$and":[{"{{analyze.result.output.isArb}}":{"$eq":true}}]}
get_hl_price
Action
Outcome Index:Item: outcomeIndex
get_outcomes
Action
Include Settled:false
log_skip
Action
[Score: analyze.result.output.matchScore] analyze.result.output.summary
prepare_scan
Action
Code:function transform(input) {
var outcomes = input.outcomes || [];
var items = [];
for (var i = 0; i < outcomes.length; i++) {
var o = outcomes[i];
if (o.isFallback || o.settled) continue;
if (o.class === 'priceBucket') continue;
var parsed = parseDescription(o.rawDescription || '', o);
if (!parsed) continue;
if (parsed.perSide) {
for (var s = 0; s < parsed.perSide.length; s++) {
var ps = parsed.perSide[s];
items.push({
outcomeIndex: o.outcomeIndex,
name: ps.name,
pmQuery: ps.query,
sides: o.sides.map(function(x) { return x.name; }),
sideIndex: s,
sideName: ps.sideName,
matchCriteria: ps.criteria,
marketType: 'sports'
});
}
} else if (parsed.query) {
items.push({
outcomeIndex: o.outcomeIndex,
name: parsed.name,
pmQuery: parsed.query,
sides: o.sides.map(function(x) { return x.name; }),
matchCriteria: parsed.criteria,
marketType: parsed.marketType
});
}
}
return { items: items, count: items.length };
}
function parseDescription(desc, o) {
if (desc.indexOf('CPI') >= 0) return parseCPI(desc, o);
if (desc.indexOf('federal funds rate') >= 0 || desc.indexOf('FOMC') >= 0) return parseFed(desc, o);
if (o.class === 'priceBinary' && o.underlying) return parsePriceBinary(desc, o);
var sportInfo = detectSport(desc, o);
if (sportInfo) return parseSports(desc, o, sportInfo);
return { name: o.name, query: o.name, marketType: 'unknown', criteria: { requiredKeywords: [], rejectedKeywords: [], metricType: 'unknown', threshold: null, direction: null, minLiquidity: 1000 } };
}
function detectSport(desc, o) {
var sports = [
{ kw: ['Champions League', 'UEFA', 'UCL'], event: 'Champions League', sport: 'football' },
{ kw: ['Premier League', 'EPL'], event: 'Premier League', sport: 'football' },
{ kw: ['La Liga'], event: 'La Liga', sport: 'football' },
{ kw: ['Serie A'], event: 'Serie A', sport: 'football' },
{ kw: ['Bundesliga'], event: 'Bundesliga', sport: 'football' },
{ kw: ['World Cup', 'FIFA'], event: 'World Cup', sport: 'football' },
{ kw: ['Europa League'], event: 'Europa League', sport: 'football' },
{ kw: ['NBA'], event: 'NBA', sport: 'basketball' },
{ kw: ['NFL', 'Super Bowl'], event: 'NFL', sport: 'american_football' },
{ kw: ['MLB'], event: 'MLB', sport: 'baseball' },
{ kw: ['NHL'], event: 'NHL', sport: 'hockey' },
{ kw: ['UFC', 'MMA'], event: 'UFC', sport: 'mma' },
{ kw: ['F1', 'Formula 1', 'Grand Prix'], event: 'Formula 1', sport: 'f1' },
{ kw: ['Wimbledon', 'Roland Garros', 'Australian Open'], event: 'tennis', sport: 'tennis' },
{ kw: ['boxing', 'bout'], event: 'boxing', sport: 'boxing' }
];
var text = (desc + ' ' + (o.name || '')).toLowerCase();
for (var i = 0; i < sports.length; i++) {
for (var j = 0; j < sports[i].kw.length; j++) {
if (text.indexOf(sports[i].kw[j].toLowerCase()) >= 0) return sports[i];
}
}
var genericSides = ['yes', 'no', 'above', 'below', 'exactly', 'change', 'no change'];
var sideNames = o.sides.map(function(s) { return s.name.toLowerCase(); });
var hasGeneric = false;
for (var k = 0; k < sideNames.length; k++) {
if (genericSides.indexOf(sideNames[k]) >= 0) { hasGeneric = true; break; }
}
if (!hasGeneric && sideNames.length >= 2) {
return { kw: [], event: o.name || desc.substring(0, 50), sport: 'unknown_sport' };
}
return null;
}
function parseSports(desc, o, sportInfo) {
var sideNames = o.sides.map(function(s) { return s.name; });
var perSide = [];
for (var i = 0; i < sideNames.length; i++) {
perSide.push({
name: sportInfo.event + ': ' + sideNames[i],
sideName: sideNames[i],
query: sideNames[i] + ' ' + sportInfo.event,
criteria: {
metricType: 'sports_side',
eventKeywords: sportInfo.kw,
sport: sportInfo.sport,
event: sportInfo.event,
minLiquidity: 1000
}
});
}
return { perSide: perSide };
}
function parseCPI(desc, o) {
var isHeadline = desc.indexOf('BLS CPI') >= 0 || desc.indexOf('headline') >= 0;
var metricLabel = isHeadline ? 'headline CPI' : 'CPI';
var threshMatch = desc.match(/(below|above|exactly|is)\s+([\d.]+)%/i);
var threshold = threshMatch ? parseFloat(threshMatch[2]) : null;
var direction = 'unknown';
var nl = o.name.toLowerCase();
if (nl.indexOf('below') >= 0 || desc.indexOf('is below') >= 0) direction = 'below';
else if (nl.indexOf('above') >= 0 || desc.indexOf('is above') >= 0) direction = 'above';
else if (nl.indexOf('exactly') >= 0 || desc.indexOf('is exactly') >= 0) direction = 'exactly';
var monthMatch = desc.match(/(January|February|March|April|May|June|July|August|September|October|November|December)\s+(\d{4})/i);
var month = monthMatch ? monthMatch[1] : '';
var year = monthMatch ? monthMatch[2] : '';
var query = metricLabel + ' YoY ' + (threshold ? threshold + ' percent ' : '') + month + ' ' + year;
return {
name: 'CPI: ' + o.name + ' (' + metricLabel + (threshold ? ' ' + threshold + '%' : '') + ')',
query: query.trim(),
marketType: 'cpi',
criteria: {
requiredKeywords: ['CPI'],
rejectedKeywords: isHeadline ? ['Core'] : [],
metricType: isHeadline ? 'headline_cpi' : 'core_cpi',
threshold: threshold,
direction: direction,
month: month,
year: year,
minLiquidity: 100,
exactlyPenalty: direction === 'exactly'
}
};
}
function parseFed(desc, o) {
var meetingMatch = desc.match(/(January|February|March|April|May|June|July|August|September|October|November|December)\s+\d+(?:[\u2013-]\d+)?,?\s*(\d{4})/i);
var month = meetingMatch ? meetingMatch[1] : '';
var year = meetingMatch ? meetingMatch[2] : '';
var sideNames = o.sides.map(function(s) { return s.name.toLowerCase(); });
var isChange = sideNames.indexOf('change') >= 0;
return {
name: 'Fed: ' + o.name,
query: 'Fed rate ' + month + ' ' + year,
marketType: 'fed_rate',
criteria: {
requiredKeywords: ['Fed', 'rate'],
rejectedKeywords: [],
metricType: 'fed_rate',
threshold: null,
direction: isChange ? 'change' : 'no_change',
month: month,
year: year,
minLiquidity: 5000
}
};
}
function parsePriceBinary(desc, o) {
var underlying = o.underlying || '';
var target = o.targetPrice || 0;
var period = o.period || '';
return {
name: underlying + ' >= $' + (target || '?') + (period === '1d' ? ' (daily)' : ''),
query: underlying + ' price prediction',
marketType: 'price_binary',
criteria: {
requiredKeywords: [underlying],
rejectedKeywords: [],
metricType: 'price_binary',
threshold: target,
direction: 'above',
underlying: underlying,
period: period,
minLiquidity: 1000,
dailyBinaryPenalty: period === '1d'
}
};
}
Input:{"outcomes":"{{get_outcomes.result.outcomes}}"}
root
Action
Schedule:
DTSTART:20260101T000000Z
RRULE:FREQ=MINUTELY;INTERVAL={{$props.cadence}}
scan_loop
Action
Array:prepare_scan:output.items
search_pm
Action
Limit:10
Query:Item: pmQuery
send_alert
Message configured
HIP-4 vs PM Arb Detected {{analyze.result.output.summary}} Net Spread: {{analyze.result.output.netSpread}}% Match Confidence: {{analyze.result.output.matchScore}}
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